Bitcoin Holds Near $64,000 as ETF Outflows Stretch Into Sixth Week

Bitcoin traded around $64,000 ahead of Monday's European open, according to CoinDesk pricing data, as the market continued to wait for a catalyst strong enough to break a weeks-long range. U.S. spot bitcoin ETFs have now posted six straight weeks of net outflows, although the pace of selling has narrowed from earlier in the month.

The development matters because ETF flows have become an important signal for institutional demand in bitcoin markets. CoinDesk reported that fresh institutional buying has not yet returned in a sustained way, suggesting larger investors remain cautious as markets reassess the Federal Reserve's interest-rate path.

Macro conditions are also keeping pressure on risk assets. After the Fed's June meeting, expectations for near-term rate cuts weakened, helping lift the dollar index into the 100.6 to 100.8 area while Treasury yields stayed elevated. In that environment, capital has tended to favor assets with steadier yields over more volatile markets such as bitcoin.

Improved risk appetite following an easing of geopolitical tension after the U.S.-Iran deal has provided some short-term support. Still, CoinDesk cited XS.com's Simon-Peter Massabni as saying bitcoin may remain in a $60,000 to $67,000 near-term range, with supportive sentiment offset by a firmer dollar, cautious Fed messaging and unconfirmed institutional demand.

For a more durable recovery in the second half, the market would likely need a return of ETF inflows and stronger institutional participation, according to the source. Until then, bitcoin's rebounds may look more technical than evidence of a fresh uptrend.